Precog Modeling

Intent forecasting predicts what information users will need.

Forecasting is based on query patterns, user behavior, and information gaps in existing answers.

Each intent maps to required croutons. Missing croutons cause incomplete or incorrect AI answers.

Forecasting requires analyzing what users ask, what they ask next, and what they need to believe before acting.

Intent forecasting identifies not just primary queries but secondary and tertiary information needs.

Forecasts are validated through search query data, AI answer inspection, and user feedback loops.

Follow-up questions are predictable information needs that emerge after initial queries.

Mapping follow-up questions requires understanding information dependency chains.

Example: A user asking "What is prechunking SEO?" will likely ask "How does prechunking work?" then "What are croutons?" then "How do I implement prechunking?"

Each follow-up question requires specific croutons. Missing croutons cause AI systems to cite other sources or generate incomplete answers.

Follow-up mapping is done through query analysis, conversation flow analysis, and answer gap identification.

Croutons must be structured to answer both primary and follow-up questions without requiring users to read full pages.

Trust questions are information needs that users must satisfy before believing or acting on a claim.

Trust gaps occur when claims are made without supporting evidence or context.

Example: Claiming "NRLC.ai provides AI SEO services" requires trust questions: "What is AI SEO?" "Who is NRLC.ai?" "What results do they deliver?"

Each trust question must be answered with specific croutons. Missing croutons cause skepticism or citation of alternative sources.

Trust-question identification requires understanding what information is required to establish credibility for each claim.

Trust questions vary by audience. Enterprise buyers need different trust signals than individual consumers.

Crouton dependency mapping identifies which croutons must be retrieved together.

Some facts depend on other facts for accuracy or completeness.

Dependencies are mapped to ensure related croutons exist within the same potential chunk boundaries.

Example: A crouton stating "NRLC.ai operates remotely" may depend on croutons defining what NRLC.ai is and what services it provides.

Dependency mapping prevents facts from being retrieved without necessary context, which causes mutation or misunderstanding.

Dependencies are identified through fact analysis and retrieval testing.

Precogs are validated through multiple methods:

• Query data analysis to confirm predicted information needs occur
• AI answer inspection to verify required croutons are present or missing
• User behavior tracking to identify information gaps
• Competitive analysis to see what croutons competitors provide
• Retrieval testing to confirm croutons are extractable and citable

Invalidated precogs are removed or revised. New precogs are added based on emerging patterns.

Validation is ongoing. Information needs evolve as markets and user understanding change.

• Prechunking SEO Overview
• Core Concepts
• Crouton Specification
• Prechunking Workflow